My predictions for my Rube Goldberg machine are that I will have 15 – 20 failures before I finally succeed. To be exact, I think there will be 18 fails before I will succeed. I think this because the way my simple task works is unique, but also complicated. My simple task is throwing out a piece of trash. The way I will do that is the complicated part, which I explained in my 3rd Rube Goldberg post. I think my simple task will take probably 11 fails, and the whole entire contraption will take 7 fails. I’ve tested most of my ideas and there would be about a 1/5 chance that each step would fail. My simple task have about a 3/4 chance that it would fail. What’s annoying about my simple task is, depending on how fast the ball will hit the jenga block, or if it will even hit it, the paper ball could go anywhere. Besides the fact that 1/5 of the time, the jenga block won’t even hit the spoon.